Ethereum Price Prediction: $130M ETF Inflows Fuel Rally As Bulls Test $2,145 Breakout

Ethereum price today trades near $2,129.01, up 0.39% after testing the upper Keltner Channel resistance at $2,145. The move places buyers in control as institutional flows surge and derivatives positioning shifts bullish following weeks of consolidation.

Ethereum spot ETFs $130.08 million in net inflows on March 4, the largest single-day institutional buying since early February. Cumulative net inflows now stand at $11.76 billion, representing 4.79% of Ethereum’s market cap.

Grayscale’s ETH led with $99.51 million in fresh capital, while Grayscale’s ETHE added $21.91 million. The session marks a dramatic shift from the modest inflows seen in recent weeks, suggesting institutional appetite is accelerating as price breaks through technical resistance.

Open interest exploded 15.47% to $28.71 billion while volume surged 34.74% to $77.96 billion. The combination confirms fresh capital entering long positions rather than short covering driving the move.

The long/short ratio on Binance sits at 1.25 for accounts and 1.36 for top traders, showing leverage is shifting toward longs. Total liquidations hit $5.76 million, with shorts accounting for $3.71 million, clearing resistance as overleveraged bears were forced out.

Options volume jumped 34.88% to $1.78 billion while options OI rose 3.76% to $7.61 billion, reflecting increased positioning for continued upside as momentum builds.

The 4-hour chart shows Ethereum testing the upper Keltner Channel at $2,170, with the middle line at $2,048 and lower line at $1,925. Price is consolidating in the upper half of the range (orange shaded area) between $1,900 and $2,100, where significant trading activity occurred over the past month.

All four EMAs are converging between $2,006 and $2,048, creating a support cluster that buyers must defend. The 20-day EMA at $2,048 is particularly critical as it sits at the Keltner Channel midpoint.

Key levels:

A break above the upper Keltner Channel at $2,170 with sustained volume would signal the consolidation has ended and open the door to $2,200 and potentially $2,300.

The 30-minute chart shows Ethereum forming an ascending channel (red parallel lines) since early March. Price is trading in the upper half of the channel, with the lower boundary near $2,080 providing dynamic support.

The Parabolic SAR at $2,143 acts as immediate resistance, while the RSI sits at 53, showing neutral momentum with room to extend higher before hitting overbought conditions.

A break above the ascending channel’s upper boundary near $2,160 to $2,170 would confirm the pattern and project targets toward $2,200 based on the channel’s width.

The next move depends on whether Ethereum can break above the Keltner Channel resistance at $2,170 and convert the EMA cluster into support.